Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 6

6 ❙ FeedStrategy

6 issues set to shape 2020
poultry feed production
Trade shifts, an ASF-driven protein gap and high consumer demand
point to stable growth for the global poultry sector in the year ahead.
JACKIE ROEMBKE

T

he demand for animal proteins
remains strong worldwide.
According to the United
Nations' Food and Agriculture
Organization (FAO), global
meat prices increased by 4.6%
in November 2019, the largest
monthly rise in more than a decade
and a figure 17% higher than 12
months prior.
Globally, consumer demand
for poultry meat and eggs has
maintained its upward trajectory.
Poultry production grew by 2.2%
in 2019 and preliminary forecasts
point to moderate growth (2%) in
2020, analysts at IEG Vantage Agribusiness Intelligence report.
While experts remain
"cautiously optimistic," several
trends and extraneous factors
may enhance - or complicate
- industry profitability and feed
production in the year ahead.

6 critical issues influencing
global poultry production
Poultry industry stakeholders
weigh in on the 2020 issues feed
manufacturers and nutritionists
should have on their radar.

1

China & African
swine fever (ASF)

In 2019, ASF reduced the
Chinese swine herd by
more than 50% and has doubled the
cost of pork in the world's largest pork
consuming country. Unsurprisingly,
poultry has risen as the substitute to
fill the protein supply gap.
According to Rabobank, China
increased meat imports by double
digits across all species in 2019, with
poultry imports up by 51% (Jan-Sep
YOY), predicting expanded import
growth moving forward.
The recent lift of China's
nearly five-year ban on U.S.
poultry imports means added
growth and demand for U.S.
producers, in addition to its
already strong domestic demand.
"ASF has presented an
opportunity for the U.S. market
to grow poultry exports to
affected markets," explains
Greg Tyler, senior vice
president of marketing, USA
Poultry & Egg Export
Council (USAPEEC). United
Soybean Board vice president of
meal strategy Keenan McRoberts

agrees and suggests industry trade
associations and their partners
work together to seize this nearterm opportunity and ensure a
long-term, sustained poultry trade.
Estimates suggest the U.S.
poultry industry's opportunity in
China could be as high as US$1
billion in 2020, but IEG Vantage
is a bit more conservative in its
prediction. "While there is optimism about the export opportunity
in China, that optimism might
be a little bit far fetched," warns
Brian Earnest, commodity market
analyst, IEG Vantage at IHS
Markit's Agribusiness Intelligence.
"[China's] need is immediate, as
preparations are made for Chinese
New Year. China has been aggressive in opening markets and
approving plants and could very
easily decide to block imports at
any time, as they did with pork
from Canada earlier this year."
In the meantime, while still
rebounding from the poultry
disease losses of several years ago,
the Chinese are making significant
investments to expand poultry
production, which has increased by
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Feed Strategy - January 2020

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Feed Strategy - January 2020

Feed Strategy - January 2020
Contents
In the Mix
Industry Happenings
6 issues set to shape 2020 poultry feed production Trade shifts, an ASF-driven protein gap and high consumer demand point to stable growth for the global poultry sector in the year ahead
5 broiler early nutrition research highlights
Smaller feed companies struggle to comply with FMSA
The right software for the right formulation job
Halal animal feed production enters new markets
Formulation secrets revealed for modern piglet feeds
Phytogenics: combinations and synergies in poultry feed
Products
Advertisers’ Index
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - CT1
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - CT2
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Feed Strategy - January 2020
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Cover2
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - CT3
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - CT4
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Contents
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - In the Mix
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 3
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Industry Happenings
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 5
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 6 issues set to shape 2020 poultry feed production Trade shifts, an ASF-driven protein gap and high consumer demand point to stable growth for the global poultry sector in the year ahead
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 7
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 8
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 9
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 10
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 11
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 5 broiler early nutrition research highlights
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 13
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 14
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 15
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Smaller feed companies struggle to comply with FMSA
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 17
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 18
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 19
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 20
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 21
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 22
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 23
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - The right software for the right formulation job
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 25
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Halal animal feed production enters new markets
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 27
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 28
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 29
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 30
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 31
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Formulation secrets revealed for modern piglet feeds
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 33
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 34
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 35
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 36
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 37
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Phytogenics: combinations and synergies in poultry feed
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 39
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 40
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 41
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - 42
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Products
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Advertisers’ Index
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Cover3
Feed Strategy - January 2020 - Cover4
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